Acta mathematica scientia,Series A ›› 2025, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (3): 992-1012.

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k-Nearest Neighbor Kernel Estimation of Conditional Average Treatment Effect with Missing Response Variables

Huajun Zeng1,2,Ruixing Ming1,2,Peijuan Su1,2,Shaohang Huang1,2,Min Xiao1,3,*()   

  1. 1Collaborative Innovation Center of Statistical Data Engineering Technology & Application, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou 310018
    2School of Statistics and Mathematics, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou 310018
    3Economic Forecasting and Policy Simulation Laboratory, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou 310018
  • Received:2024-06-18 Revised:2024-09-13 Online:2025-06-26 Published:2025-06-20
  • Supported by:
    Zhejiang Provincial Philosophy and Social Sciences Planning Project(22GXSZ001Z);Digital Science and Engineering Construction Project(SZJ2022B004);Zhejiang Provincial Department of Education General Project(Y202353084);Fundamental Research Funds for the Provincial Universities of Zhejiang(XT202302)

Abstract:

Under the Neyman-Rubin potential outcome framework, we construct a k-nearest neighbor kernel estimator to measure the conditional average treatment effect in the case of random missing response variables, aiming to evaluate the impact of different treatments on individuals. The paper proves the almost complete convergence and the asymptotic normality of the estimator. The numerical simulation shows that the k-nearest neighbor kernel estimator performs well. The real-world data is used for empirical analysis, and the empirical results show that mean absolute error and root mean square error of the k-nearest neighbor kernel estimator are smaller.

Key words: conditional average treatment effect, random missing, k-nearest neighbor kernel estimator, asymptotic normality

CLC Number: 

  • O212.7
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