失效概率的E-Bayes估计和E-MSE及其应用

韩明

E-Bayesian Estimation and E-MSE of Failure Probability and Its Applications

Ming Han

表 1 $ \widehat p_{iEBj} (j=1, 2) $的计算结果

$ s_{i} $ $ r_{i} $ $ \widehat p_{iEB1} $ $ \widehat p_{iEB2} $ $ \widehat p_{iEB1}-\widehat p_{iEB2} $ 10 0 0.0364 0.0350 0.0014 1 0.1171 0.1123 0.0048 5 0.4586 0.4533 0.0053 10 0.8806 0.8732 0.0074 20 0 0.0193 0.0189 4.0000e-004 5 0.2500 0.2416 0.0084 10 0.4761 0.4670 0.0091 20 0.9298 0.9213 0.0085 50 0 0.0111 0.0110 1.0000e-004 10 0.2026 0.1991 0.0035 30 0.5865 0.5804 0.0061 50 0.9711 0.9706 5.0000e-004 100 0 0.0047 0.0046 1.0000e-004 20 0.2015 0.1989 0.0026 50 0.4952 0.4901 0.0051 100 0.9849 0.9830 0.0019